All Articles

11 articles, every one of them, newest first.

Volatility term-structure curve, five plotted points sloping down from the front month
Investments

How to Measure Stop Risk on a Stock

The Stop Risk Score measures how much room a stock's own recent price action says a stop needs, built from six weighted…

2026-09-30
The eight-segment market cycle dial with its needle on one phase
Cycle Clock Phases

What Does an Overheating Economy Mean for Stocks?

Overheat is the Cycle Clock's late-cycle phase: growth peaking, policy tightening. The engine's own guidance for this phase is shorter holds and…

2026-09-30 · regime_clock
Volatility term-structure curve, five plotted points sloping down from the front month
Macro Analysis

When to Avoid Trading a Stock Entirely

STRESSED is the Stop Risk Score's highest volatility band, any score of 75 or above, and it triggers the engine's AVOID call.…

2026-09-30 · V-01
Volatility term-structure curve, five plotted points sloping down from the front month
Featured

What Does Low Realized Volatility Mean for Position Size?

CALM is the Stop Risk Score's lowest volatility band, any score below 35, and it clears a stock for the engine's full…

2026-09-30 · V-01
Sector rotation bar field, bars above and below a common baseline with one leader highlighted
Featured

Cyclical vs Defensive Sectors Explained

The Macro Engine's sector rotation read splits the market into cyclical and defensive buckets, six sectors against three, and measures which side…

2026-09-30
The eight-segment market cycle dial with its needle on one phase
Cycle Clock Phases

What Are the Phases of the Economic Cycle for Traders?

The Macro Engine's Cycle Clock sorts the business cycle into eight fixed phases, Goldilocks through Recovery, assigned by a decision tree rather…

2026-09-30
Sector rotation bar field, bars above and below a common baseline with one leader highlighted
ETFs

How to Rank Sector Strength Against SPY

The Macro Engine's sector leadership score ranks each sector from 0 to 4 against SPY, one point for each of four independent…

2026-09-30
Volatility term-structure curve, five plotted points sloping down from the front month
Featured

How to Size Positions by Volatility Regime

The Stop Risk Score sizes positions on a four-step ladder built from 20-day realized volatility, shock, and drawdown. Below a score of…

2026-09-30
Valeron Research instrument mark: concentric graduated rings with a brass index arc
ETFs

SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA: What Each ETF Tells Traders

SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA each tell traders something different about broad market strength, growth appetite, small-cap risk, and blue-chip exposure.

2026-08-31
Valeron Research instrument mark: concentric graduated rings with a brass index arc
Macro Analysis

How to Read the Yield Curve Like a Market Professional

Learn how to read the yield curve like a market professional using 10Y-2Y spreads, trend, inversion, steepening, and macro context.

2026-08-31
Valeron Research instrument mark: concentric graduated rings with a brass index arc
Featured

How to Check the Yield Curve on TradingView

Learn how to check the yield curve for free on TradingView using the 10Y-2Y spread, a line chart, and a moving average.

2026-08-31